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Decline In House Prices Accelerates In First Quarter

By admin | May 22, 2008

Sharpest Declines in California, Nevada and Florida;
 Small Price Increases in Strongest Markets

U.S. home prices fell in the first quarter of 2008 according to OFHEO’s seasonally-adjusted purchase-only house price index. The index, which is based on data from home sales, was 1.7 percent lower on a seasonally-adjusted basis in the first quarter than in the fourth quarter of 2007. This decline exceeded the 1.4 percent price decline between the third and fourth quarters of 2007 and is the largest quarterly price decline on record. Over the past year, prices fell 3.1 percent between the first quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008. This is the largest decline in the purchase only index’s 17-year history. 

OFHEO’s all-transactions House Price Index (HPI) which includes data from home sales and appraisals for refinancings, showed less weakness than the purchase-only index. The all-transactions HPI fell 0.2 percent in the latest quarter and was flat over the four-quarter period.

 

The figures were released today by OFHEO Director James B. Lockhart, as part of the quarterly report analyzing housing price appreciation trends. “These substantial home price declines bring positive and negative news,” said Lockhart. “For homeowners and financial market observers, these declines spell further erosion in home equity levels and potentially more trouble for mortgage markets. To prospective home buyers who have been shut out of homeownership because of affordability constraints, these declines may be welcome news, as are continued low mortgage rates.”

 

Both OFHEO’s purchase-only index and its all-transactions index show much more muted price declines than do other house price indexes. “While house price declines are widespread, homes financed with prime, conforming mortgages continue to hold up better than those financed with other types of mortgages, a phenomenon we’ve been observing for the last several quarters,” Lockhart said.

 

With this release, OFHEO continues its publication of its monthly price index, which was introduced in February. Monthly price trends are shown on pages 8 and 9 and are provided for months through March. Between February and March, prices fell 0.4 percent nationally on a seasonally-adjusted basis, and they have fallen a total of 3.7 percent since their April 2007 peak.

 

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